The ABP-CVOTER survey revealed that as per public opinion, within The Grand Alliance, RJD is expected to get 81 to 89 seats whereas Congress is projected to get 21 to 29 seats. On the other hand, within their formidable competitor – NDA, JDU is projected to get 38 to 46 seats whereas BJP is expected to get 66 to 74 seats.
According to the survey commissioned, it is going to be a neck and neck battle in the state of Bihar.
| Range of NDA Seats | From | To |
| BJP | 66 | 74 |
| HAMS | 0 | 4 |
| JD(U) | 38 | 46 |
| VIP | 0 | 4 |
| NDA Total | 104 | 128 |
| Range of MGB Seats | From | To |
| CPI | 1 | 3 |
| CPI(M) | 0 | 3 |
| CPI(ML)( L) | 5 | 7 |
| INC | 21 | 29 |
| RJD | 81 | 89 |
| UPA Total | 108 | 131 |
| Range of Others Seats | From | To |
| LJP | 1 | 3 |
| Others | 4 | 8 |
| Others Total | 5 | 11 |
| Grand Total | 243 | 243 |
| NDA Votes | |
| BJP | 20.4 |
| HAMS | 1 |
| JD(U) | 15.1 |
| VIP | 1.2 |
| NDA Total | 37.7 |
| MGB Votes | |
| CPI | 0.8 |
| CPI(M) | 0.4 |
| CPI(ML)( L) | 2.8 |
| INC | 9.4 |
| RJD | 22.9 |
| MGB Total | 36.3 |
| Others | |
| LJP | 8.5 |
| Others | 17.5 |
| Others Total | 26 |
| Grand Total | 100 |
The survey conducted with Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research (CVOTER) keeps the viewers apprised of the various developing political opinions, while also understanding the voters’ frame of mind.
Current projections are based on CVOTER daily tracking poll conducted from 24th October 2020 to 07th November 2020.
As for the methodology and survey details, the survey reached out to a total of approximately 30,000+ people in Bihar. The survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. The final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. This will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.
One of the most closely watched states in India’s electoral politics, Bihar, began the 1st phase of the elections on October 28th, 2020 wherein 71 constituencies and 16 Districts will went for polls in 31,000 polling stations. This was followed by the 2nd phase on 3rd November, 2020 wherein 94 constituencies, and 17 Districts went for polls in 42,000 Polling Stations. Finally, the last phase was held on 7th November, 2020 wherein 78 constituencies and 15 Districts went for polls in 33,000 polling stations. The counting will take place on 10th November, 2020.
One of the most closely watched states in India’s electoral politics, Bihar, began the 1st phase of the elections on October 28th, 2020 wherein 71 constituencies and 16 Districts went for polls in 31,000 polling stations. This was followed by the 2nd phase on 3rd November, 2020 wherein 94 constituencies, and 17 Districts went for polls in 42,000 Polling Stations. Finally, the last phase was held on 7th November, 2020 wherein 78 constituencies and 15 Districts went for polls in 33,000 polling stations. The counting will take place on 10th November, 2020.
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